Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTHThe Hutwin 2:1
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Gods of Hellloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
The Hut
No games played over 6 months.
Gods of Hell
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
472 picks · 225 bans
Tiny
420 picks · 632 bans
Batrider
414 picks · 717 bans
Gyrocopter
405 picks · 361 bans
Centaur Warrunner
400 picks · 576 bans
Rubick
376 picks · 160 bans
Pangolier
365 picks · 782 bans
Shadow Demon
335 picks · 945 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% The Hut
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% The Hut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
The Hut 65%Gods of Hell 35%
The model gave 65% on The Hut — the game was taken by The Hut.
Game 2prediction missed
The Hut 65%Gods of Hell 35%
The model gave 65% on The Hut — the game was taken by Gods of Hell.
Game 3prediction correct
The Hut 65%Gods of Hell 35%
The model gave 65% on The Hut — the game was taken by The Hut.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Hut · 65%
Series resultThe Hut 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3