The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
The MongolZwin 2:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ADAztech Duelistloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
The MongolZ
Pangolieroften banned
JG · 12 games
Doomoften banned
JG · 10 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 10 games
Invokeroften banned
Wonder'boy · 10 games
Pucksignature
Wonder'boy · 10 games
Clockwerksignature
Hishge · 9 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
JG · 9 games
Nyx Assassin
Hishge · 9 games
Aztech Duelist
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
473 picks · 443 bans
Tiny
443 picks · 500 bans
Ringmaster
432 picks · 200 bans
Terrorblade
329 picks · 579 bans
Storm Spirit
289 picks · 402 bans
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 604 bans
Tusk
277 picks · 180 bans
Windranger
262 picks · 74 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Aztech Duelist
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% The MongolZ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
The MongolZ 71%Aztech Duelist 29%
The model gave 71% on The MongolZ — the game was taken by The MongolZ.
Game 2prediction correct
The MongolZ 71%Aztech Duelist 29%
The model gave 71% on The MongolZ — the game was taken by The MongolZ.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe MongolZ · 71%
Series resultThe MongolZ 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2