DreamLeague Season 27. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
The MongolZwin 1:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Hhanguoloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
The MongolZ
Doomoften banned
JG · 3 games
Dragon Knight
Bob · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 3 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
DJ · 3 games
Tuskoften banned
DJ · 3 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
JG · 2 games
Earthshakeroften banned
Bob · 2 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
DJ · 2 games
hanguo
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
298 picks · 192 bans
Puck
295 picks · 682 bans
Dark Willow
260 picks · 110 bans
Tusk
258 picks · 258 bans
Dawnbreaker
257 picks · 634 bans
Nature's Prophet
251 picks · 531 bans
Disruptor
246 picks · 210 bans
Marci
245 picks · 558 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% hanguo
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% The MongolZ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
The MongolZ 65%hanguo 35%
The model gave 65% on The MongolZ — the game was taken by The MongolZ.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe MongolZ · 65%
Series resultThe MongolZ 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1