?
arrow_backBack to match
Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
The MongolZloss 0:1
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Trailer Park Boyswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

The MongolZ

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
JG · 12 games
25%
Doom
Doomoften banned
JG · 10 games
40%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 10 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Wonder'boy · 10 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
Wonder'boy · 10 games
60%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Hishge · 9 games
67%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
JG · 9 games
33%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
Hishge · 9 games
44%

Trailer Park Boys

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
CHYuan · 4 games
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
NARMAN · 4 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
423 · 3 games
33%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
eleven · 3 games
67%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
NARMAN · 2 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
CHYuan · 2 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Se · 2 games
0%
Mars
Marsoften banned
eleven · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
479 picks · 447 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
469 picks · 535 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
441 picks · 221 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
344 picks · 642 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
306 picks · 447 bans
54%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
295 picks · 661 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
289 picks · 221 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
280 picks · 84 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% Trailer Park Boys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Trailer Park Boys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
The MongolZ 30%Trailer Park Boys 70%
The model gave 70% on Trailer Park Boys — the game was taken by Trailer Park Boys.
Model check result
Model favoriteTrailer Park Boys · 70%
Series resultTrailer Park Boys 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1