BLAST Slam V. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionTThrivingwin 2:0
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Thriving
No games played over 6 months.
Surge Gaming
Enchantressoften banned
Hara · 6 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Irving · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Irving · 4 games
Sven
ukiyo · 4 games
Earthshakeroften banned
Night · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
Night · 3 games
Silenceroften banned
Hara · 3 games
Ursaoften banned
ukiyo · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
665 picks · 321 bans
Disruptor
564 picks · 575 bans
Hoodwink
424 picks · 224 bans
Puck
405 picks · 1156 bans
Mars
382 picks · 638 bans
Tusk
358 picks · 259 bans
Pugna
356 picks · 399 bans
Queen of Pain
354 picks · 937 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 47%
Hero pool strength52% Surge Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total56% Thriving
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Thriving 56%Surge Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on Thriving — the game was taken by Thriving.
Game 2prediction correct
Thriving 56%Surge Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on Thriving — the game was taken by Thriving.
Model check result
Model favoriteThriving · 56%
Series resultThriving 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2