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BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenwin 2:0
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Infamousloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Thunder Awaken

Mars
Marssignature
DarkMago · 16 games
63%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Oscar · 13 games
62%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Matthew · 12 games
67%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magisignature
Panda · 11 games
64%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Panda · 10 games
100%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
DarkMago · 10 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Pakazs · 8 games
63%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Matthew · 7 games
57%

Infamous

Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Lumière · 10 games
60%
Mars
Marssignature
Sacred · 9 games
89%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekersignature
Sacred · 7 games
71%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Michael · 7 games
57%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Michael · 6 games
83%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Michael · 5 games
80%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Parker · 5 games
60%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
545 picks · 368 bans
58%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
478 picks · 570 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
446 picks · 600 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
425 picks · 779 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
363 picks · 174 bans
44%
Kunkka
Kunkka
343 picks · 542 bans
53%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
343 picks · 571 bans
53%
Wraith King
Wraith King
286 picks · 347 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)72% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% Infamous
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total64% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:19
Thunder Awaken 64%Infamous 36%
The model gave 64% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 34:52.
Game 2prediction correct42:25
Thunder Awaken 64%Infamous 36%
The model gave 64% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 36:06.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 64%
Series resultThunder Awaken 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2