BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
TiltedBoysloss 0:1series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Fusionwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TiltedBoys
Clinkzoften banned
bgod · 2 games
Bounty Hunter
bgod · 1 game
Hoodwinkoften banned
bgod · 1 game
Pudgeoften banned
bgod · 1 game
Fusion
Hoodwinkoften banned
Michael · 6 games
Snapfire
Michael · 5 games
Disruptor
Prada · 4 games
Svenoften banned
Wits · 4 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Wits · 4 games
Tinyoften banned
Wits · 4 games
Jakiro
Michael · 3 games
Phoenixoften banned
Prada · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
374 picks · 357 bans
Hoodwink
362 picks · 404 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 256 bans
Pangolier
332 picks · 524 bans
Sven
296 picks · 306 bans
Phoenix
290 picks · 497 bans
Windranger
281 picks · 345 bans
Ember Spirit
280 picks · 597 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 18%
Hero pool strength60% TiltedBoys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% TiltedBoys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
TiltedBoys 69%Fusion 31%
The model gave 69% on TiltedBoys — the game was taken by Fusion.
Model check result
Model favoriteTiltedBoys · 69%
Series resultFusion 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1