BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Timebombloss 0:2series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:2
KZ TEAMwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Timebomb
No games played over 6 months.
KZ TEAM
Grimstrokeoften banned
SsaSpartan · 16 games
Rubick
Pablo · 16 games
Muertaoften banned
Astral · 14 games
Shadow Demon
SsaSpartan · 12 games
Faceless Voidsignature
Otaker · 11 games
Pangoliersignature
W1sh- · 11 games
Vengeful Spirit
SsaSpartan · 11 games
Dark Willowsignature
Astral · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
249 picks · 422 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
215 picks · 332 bans
Dark Willow
200 picks · 97 bans
Tusk
200 picks · 184 bans
Centaur Warrunner
198 picks · 270 bans
Treant Protector
187 picks · 358 bans
Kunkka
177 picks · 507 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 59%
Hero pool strength51% KZ TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% KZ TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:48
Timebomb 23%KZ TEAM 77%
The model gave 77% on KZ TEAM — the game was taken by KZ TEAM in 26:04.
Game 2prediction correct16:50
Timebomb 23%KZ TEAM 77%
The model gave 77% on KZ TEAM — the game was taken by KZ TEAM in 30:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteKZ TEAM · 77%
Series resultKZ TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2