Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TNC Predator
Crystal Maidensignature
Mjz · 18 games
Faceless Voidsignature
Palos · 16 games
Pangolieroften banned
Abed · 16 games
Lunaoften banned
Palos · 14 games
Marsoften banned
Gabbi · 14 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Abed · 14 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Gabbi · 12 games
Grimstrokesignature
Tims · 12 games
Salvation Gaming
Gyrocopter
YoungGodLevi · 6 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Wonder'boy · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Rupido · 4 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
LOyd · 4 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Wonder'boy · 3 games
Lion
Dric~ · 3 games
Rubick
Dric~ · 3 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Dric~ · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 219 bans
Tiny
432 picks · 643 bans
Batrider
421 picks · 727 bans
Centaur Warrunner
406 picks · 583 bans
Gyrocopter
405 picks · 364 bans
Rubick
390 picks · 162 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 801 bans
Shadow Demon
344 picks · 960 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 54%
Hero pool strength58% TNC Predator
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% TNC Predator
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
TNC Predator 71%Salvation Gaming 29%
The model gave 71% on TNC Predator — the game was taken by TNC Predator.
Game 2prediction correct
TNC Predator 71%Salvation Gaming 29%
The model gave 71% on TNC Predator — the game was taken by TNC Predator.
Model check result
Model favoriteTNC Predator · 71%
Series resultTNC Predator 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2