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Riyadh Masters 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
TNC Predatorwin 1:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Salvation Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

TNC Predator

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Mjz · 18 games
67%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Palos · 16 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Abed · 16 games
44%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Palos · 14 games
43%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Gabbi · 14 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Abed · 14 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Gabbi · 12 games
75%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Tims · 12 games
75%

Salvation Gaming

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
YoungGodLevi · 6 games
17%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Wonder'boy · 5 games
40%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Rupido · 4 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
LOyd · 4 games
25%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Wonder'boy · 3 games
67%
Lion
Lion
Dric~ · 3 games
33%
Rubick
Rubick
Dric~ · 3 games
33%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Dric~ · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
465 picks · 221 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
408 picks · 637 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
397 picks · 366 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
393 picks · 698 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
393 picks · 561 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
366 picks · 158 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
355 picks · 757 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
329 picks · 929 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 53%
Hero pool strength58% TNC Predator
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total74% TNC Predator
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:11
TNC Predator 64%Salvation Gaming 36%
The model gave 64% on TNC Predator — the game was taken by TNC Predator in 28:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidPalos
51% · 273 games47% · 195 games
PuckWonder'boy
Puck
Leshrac
LeshracYowe
53% · 154 games54% · 125 games
LifestealerYoungGodLevi
Lifestealer
Dark Willow
Dark WillowJing
45% · 172 games48% · 235 games
MarsRupido
Mars
Batrider
BatriderKuku
53% · 385 games52% · 237 games
Shadow DemonDric~
Shadow Demon
48% · 192 games
GyrocopterLOyd
Gyrocopter
Model check result
Model favoriteTNC Predator · 74%
Series resultTNC Predator 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1