RES Regional Series: EU #4 · BO2
result vs predictionTTopTabloss 1:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Hryvnialoss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TopTab
No games played over 6 months.
Team Hryvnia
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
364 picks · 351 bans
Hoodwink
359 picks · 403 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
323 picks · 517 bans
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
Snapfire
279 picks · 252 bans
Phoenix
278 picks · 477 bans
Windranger
276 picks · 349 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 48%
Hero pool strength50% TopTab
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% TopTab
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:35
TopTab 51%Team Hryvnia 49%
The model gave 51% on TopTab — the game was taken by Team Hryvnia in 34:05.
Game 2prediction correct42:22
TopTab 51%Team Hryvnia 49%
The model gave 51% on TopTab — the game was taken by TopTab in 34:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteTopTab · 51%
Accuracy by game1 of 2