BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
TpaBoMaH Teamloss 1:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GoodWin Teamwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TpaBoMaH Team
No games played over 6 months.
GoodWin Team
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Mariachi · 7 games
Crystal Maiden
Lesn4ok · 5 games
Void Spirit
GoodWin · 5 games
Legion Commander
Noticed · 4 games
Ogre Magi
GoodWin · 4 games
Shadow Shaman
BOOKER · 4 games
Techies
Lesn4ok · 4 games
Bane
GoodWin · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
763 picks · 358 bans
Disruptor
595 picks · 612 bans
Hoodwink
555 picks · 300 bans
Dragon Knight
459 picks · 525 bans
Tusk
449 picks · 268 bans
Mars
447 picks · 731 bans
Puck
440 picks · 1151 bans
Jakiro
432 picks · 268 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% GoodWin Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total51% GoodWin Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:41
TpaBoMaH Team 49%GoodWin Team 51%
The model gave 51% on GoodWin Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 53:55.
Game 2prediction correct25:27
TpaBoMaH Team 49%GoodWin Team 51%
The model gave 51% on GoodWin Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 43:12.
Game 3prediction correct46:20
TpaBoMaH Team 49%GoodWin Team 51%
The model gave 51% on GoodWin Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 37:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteGoodWin Team · 51%
Series resultGoodWin Team 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3