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Игры Будущего 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
TpaBoTeaMloss 1:2
series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Nigma Galaxywin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

TpaBoTeaM

Pudge
Pudge
DkFogas · 6 games
33%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Immersion · 4 games
75%
Kez
Kez
bashka · 4 games
50%
Warlock
Warlock
633 · 4 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
633 · 3 games
33%
Omniknight
Omniknight
TpaBoMaH · 3 games
33%
Pugna
Pugna
TpaBoMaH · 3 games
67%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
bashka · 2 games
0%

Nigma Galaxy

Mars
Marsoften banned
No!ob · 22 games
45%
Muerta
Muerta
SumaiL · 20 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
SumaiL · 18 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
GH · 18 games
56%
Bane
Banesignature
OmaR · 17 games
76%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
SumaiL · 17 games
53%
Pugna
Pugna
GH · 17 games
41%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
OmaR · 15 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
769 picks · 351 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
608 picks · 303 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
597 picks · 548 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
586 picks · 733 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
552 picks · 335 bans
51%
Disruptor
Disruptor
550 picks · 543 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
511 picks · 598 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
510 picks · 765 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 48%
Hero pool strength53% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Nigma Galaxy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:41
TpaBoTeaM 35%Nigma Galaxy 65%
The model gave 65% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 47:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopterbashka
53% · 338 games55% · 308 games
Ember Spiritw33
Ember Spirit
Beastmaster
BeastmasterDkFogas
51% · 346 games44% · 276 games
AbaddonYawaR
Abaddon
Venomancer
VenomancerTpaBoMaH
63% · 49 games44% · 293 games
MuertaislA
Muerta
Pugna
Pugna633
52% · 267 games52% · 256 games
Centaur WarrunnerMinD_ContRoL
Centaur Warrunner
Dark Willow
Dark WillowImmersion
44% · 245 games45% · 112 games
DazzleNagato
Dazzle
Game 2prediction missed41:29
TpaBoTeaM 34%Nigma Galaxy 66%
The model gave 66% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by TpaBoTeaM in 42:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingbashka
48% · 160 games50% · 405 games
Batriderw33
Batrider
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetTpaBoMaH
50% · 229 games44% · 194 games
WindrangerYawaR
Windranger
Beastmaster
BeastmasterDkFogas
56% · 293 games53% · 204 games
TimbersawMinD_ContRoL
Timbersaw
Warlock
Warlock633
48% · 228 games49% · 274 games
MuertaislA
Muerta
Dark Willow
Dark WillowImmersion
49% · 251 game53% · 84 games
Ogre MagiNagato
Ogre Magi
Game 3prediction correct14:46
TpaBoTeaM 35%Nigma Galaxy 65%
The model gave 65% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 30:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingbashka
50% · 153 games53% · 212 games
UrsaYawaR
Ursa
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetTpaBoMaH
54% · 207 games57% · 74 games
Pudgew33
Pudge
Timbersaw
TimbersawDkFogas
46% · 163 games46% · 219 games
MarsMinD_ContRoL
Mars
Pugna
Pugna633
49% · 214 games53% · 215 games
Shadow DemonislA
Shadow Demon
Dark Willow
Dark WillowImmersion
50% · 148 games44% · 165 games
SilencerNagato
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy · 78%
Series resultNigma Galaxy 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3