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Игры Будущего 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
TpaBoTeaMwin 2:1
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Paper Tigersloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

TpaBoTeaM

Pudge
Pudge
DkFogas · 6 games
33%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Immersion · 4 games
75%
Kez
Kez
bashka · 3 games
33%
Omniknight
Omniknight
TpaBoMaH · 3 games
33%
Pugna
Pugna
TpaBoMaH · 3 games
67%
Warlock
Warlock
633 · 3 games
33%
Disruptor
Disruptor
633 · 2 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
bashka · 2 games
50%

Paper Tigers

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Freeze · 3 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
7e · 3 games
33%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
Cty · 3 games
67%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Op · 3 games
33%
Venomancer
Venomancer
BurNIng · 3 games
67%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Cty · 2 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
BurNIng · 2 games
100%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
BurNIng · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
770 picks · 353 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
609 picks · 304 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
595 picks · 538 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
585 picks · 729 bans
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
549 picks · 543 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
548 picks · 333 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
510 picks · 761 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
508 picks · 595 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Paper Tigers
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total55% Paper Tigers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:21
TpaBoTeaM 48%Paper Tigers 52%
The model gave 52% on Paper Tigers — the game was taken by TpaBoTeaM in 31:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
Kezbashka
47% · 37 games45% · 99 games
Troll WarlordCty
Troll Warlord
Venomancer
VenomancerTpaBoMaH
47% · 31 game52% · 267 games
Nature's Prophet7e
Nature's Prophet
Primal Beast
Primal BeastDkFogas
50% · 134 games51% · 279 games
BeastmasterFreeze
Beastmaster
Tusk
TuskImmersion
53% · 352 games44% · 48 games
Spirit BreakerOp
Spirit Breaker
Warlock
Warlock633
56% · 277 games48% · 138 games
WindrangerBurNIng
Windranger
Game 2prediction correct31:31
TpaBoTeaM 48%Paper Tigers 52%
The model gave 52% on Paper Tigers — the game was taken by Paper Tigers in 44:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
Juggernautbashka
52% · 76 games50% · 185 games
TerrorbladeCty
Terrorblade
Enigma
EnigmaTpaBoMaH
55% · 102 games46% · 196 games
MarsFreeze
Mars
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderDkFogas
40% · 6 games43% · 38 games
Earth Spirit7e
Earth Spirit
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonImmersion
56% · 231 game46% · 58 games
Skywrath MageOp
Skywrath Mage
Disruptor
Disruptor633
55% · 245 games43% · 183 games
PugnaBurNIng
Pugna
Game 3prediction missed29:17
TpaBoTeaM 48%Paper Tigers 52%
The model gave 52% on Paper Tigers — the game was taken by TpaBoTeaM in 46:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingbashka
53% · 186 games47% · 378 games
TerrorbladeCty
Terrorblade
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetTpaBoMaH
51% · 267 games47% · 304 games
Storm Spirit7e
Storm Spirit
Slardar
SlardarDkFogas
52% · 194 games49% · 191 game
TidehunterFreeze
Tidehunter
Silencer
Silencer633
52% · 129 games37% · 67 games
Skywrath MageOp
Skywrath Mage
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonImmersion
62% · 204 games47% · 40 games
VenomancerBurNIng
Venomancer
Model check result
Model favoritePaper Tigers · 55%
Series resultTpaBoTeaM 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3