DreamLeague Season 26. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTPTrailer Park Boyswin 2:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Trailer Park Boys
No games played over 6 months.
Tech Free Gaming
Invokeroften banned
MamangDaya · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
TraVins · 1 game
Silencer
Varizh · 1 game
Tidehunteroften banned
db- · 1 game
Tinyoften banned
dalul · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
507 picks · 697 bans
Phoenix
425 picks · 694 bans
Muerta
417 picks · 307 bans
Clockwerk
409 picks · 398 bans
Bristleback
374 picks · 851 bans
Magnus
372 picks · 983 bans
Phantom Assassin
369 picks · 619 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 496 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength56% Tech Free Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Trailer Park Boys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Trailer Park Boys 74%Tech Free Gaming 26%
The model gave 74% on Trailer Park Boys — the game was taken by Trailer Park Boys.
Game 2prediction correct
Trailer Park Boys 74%Tech Free Gaming 26%
The model gave 74% on Trailer Park Boys — the game was taken by Trailer Park Boys.
Model check result
Model favoriteTrailer Park Boys · 74%
Series resultTrailer Park Boys 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2