?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
TRocketwin 1:0
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Attack on Titanloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

TRocket

Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
Greedy · 3 games
33%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Pamplona · 3 games
100%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
H1j4ck · 2 games
100%
Enchantress
Enchantress
Pamplona · 2 games
50%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
CarJua · 2 games
0%
Rubick
Rubick
Pamplona · 2 games
50%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
H1j4ck · 2 games
100%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Pamplona · 2 games
50%

Attack on Titan

Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
hFn · 1 game
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
murd0c · 1 game
0%
Lich
Lich
Mandy · 1 game
0%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
hFn · 1 game
0%
Mirana
Mirana
RdO · 1 game
0%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
RdO · 1 game
0%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
murd0c · 1 game
0%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Mandy · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
785 picks · 534 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
559 picks · 402 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
543 picks · 442 bans
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
534 picks · 574 bans
56%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
427 picks · 684 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
401 picks · 296 bans
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
391 picks · 758 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
370 picks · 814 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength58% TRocket
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total54% Attack on Titan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
TRocket 46%Attack on Titan 54%
The model gave 54% on Attack on Titan — the game was taken by TRocket.
Model check result
Model favoriteAttack on Titan · 54%
Series resultTRocket 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1