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BetBoom Dacha · BO3
result vs prediction
TSMwin 2:0
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 2:0
9Pandasloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

TSM

Rubick
Rubick
Ari · 43 games
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
kasane · 28 games
54%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ari · 17 games
53%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Timado · 17 games
65%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
kasane · 14 games
57%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
bryle- · 14 games
29%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
kasane · 13 games
31%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Whitemon · 13 games
46%

9Pandas

Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 49 games
67%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 38 games
61%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 35 games
54%
Techies
Techies
Antares · 35 games
54%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 31 game
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 29 games
66%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 28 games
82%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 27 games
78%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
397 picks · 193 bans
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
313 picks · 454 bans
51%
Undying
Undying
271 picks · 456 bans
46%
Techies
Techies
269 picks · 227 bans
49%
Morphling
Morphling
254 picks · 474 bans
52%
Batrider
Batrider
253 picks · 419 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
244 picks · 419 bans
51%
Timbersaw
Timbersaw
229 picks · 556 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 43%
Hero pool strength56% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total72% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:10
TSM 38%9Pandas 62%
The model gave 62% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by TSM in 27:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenTimado
55% · 51 game51% · 107 games
BloodseekerRAMZES666
Bloodseeker
Beastmaster
Beastmasterkasane
50% · 240 games50% · 84 games
DawnbreakerMieRo
Dawnbreaker
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painbryle-
51% · 79 games54% · 61 game
Windrangerkiyotaka
Windranger
Warlock
WarlockWhitemon
49% · 19 games52% · 80 games
Shadow DemonAntares
Shadow Demon
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritAri
35% · 39 games49% · 96 games
LichSolo
Lich
Game 2prediction missed46:25
TSM 37%9Pandas 63%
The model gave 63% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by TSM in 41:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkTimado
48% · 101 game47% · 130 games
AlchemistRAMZES666
Alchemist
Tiny
Tinybryle-
51% · 171 game46% · 84 games
BrewmasterMieRo
Brewmaster
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetAri
55% · 92 games50% · 303 games
Storm Spiritkiyotaka
Storm Spirit
Beastmaster
Beastmasterkasane
53% · 194 games47% · 150 games
Skywrath MageAntares
Skywrath Mage
Disruptor
DisruptorWhitemon
49% · 191 game53% · 82 games
Elder TitanSolo
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 72%
Series resultTSM 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2