?
arrow_backBack to match
BetBoom Dacha · BO1
result vs prediction
TSMloss 0:1
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Secretwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

TSM

Rubick
Rubick
Ari · 46 games
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
kasane · 27 games
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Timado · 18 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ari · 17 games
53%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
kasane · 17 games
59%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Whitemon · 14 games
43%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
bryle- · 14 games
29%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
kasane · 13 games
31%

Team Secret

Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Crystallis · 21 game
62%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
yamich · 14 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Armel · 14 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
Armel · 14 games
36%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Crystallis · 13 games
54%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Puppey · 13 games
46%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Puppey · 13 games
54%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Armel · 13 games
31%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
409 picks · 195 bans
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
320 picks · 470 bans
51%
Techies
Techies
285 picks · 270 bans
49%
Undying
Undying
285 picks · 468 bans
45%
Morphling
Morphling
269 picks · 510 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
264 picks · 457 bans
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
250 picks · 446 bans
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersaw
246 picks · 589 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 32%
Hero pool strength50% TSM
Head-to-head0 – 4
Model total78% TSM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
TSM 78%Team Secret 22%
The model gave 78% on TSM — the game was taken by Team Secret.
Model check result
Model favoriteTSM · 78%
Series resultTeam Secret 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1