Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
TT Gameloss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ignitewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TT Game
No games played over 6 months.
Ignite
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
563 picks · 348 bans
Phoenix
479 picks · 567 bans
Rubick
455 picks · 239 bans
Tiny
435 picks · 370 bans
Pangolier
382 picks · 530 bans
Puck
330 picks · 865 bans
Beastmaster
320 picks · 804 bans
Tusk
310 picks · 267 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% TT Game
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% TT Game
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
TT Game 53%Ignite 47%
The model gave 53% on TT Game — the game was taken by Ignite.
Game 2prediction missed
TT Game 53%Ignite 47%
The model gave 53% on TT Game — the game was taken by Ignite.
Model check result
Model favoriteTT Game · 53%
Series resultIgnite 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2