Elite League · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tundra Esports
Techiessignature
9Class · 37 games
Rubicksignature
9Class · 26 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Tobi · 23 games
Lunasignature
Pure~ · 21 game
Tinysignature
9Class · 16 games
Batridersignature
9Class · 14 games
Brewmastersignature
Tobi · 14 games
Elder Titan
Whitemon · 13 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 28 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 21 game
Lion
Save- · 18 games
Techiessignature
Save- · 18 games
Mirana
TORONTOTOKYO · 17 games
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 15 games
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 15 games
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
500 picks · 784 bans
Batrider
458 picks · 972 bans
Crystal Maiden
455 picks · 198 bans
Techies
453 picks · 351 bans
Tiny
453 picks · 603 bans
Mars
448 picks · 713 bans
Rubick
440 picks · 203 bans
Pangolier
425 picks · 725 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 42%
Hero pool strength57% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total61% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:37
Tundra Esports 55%BETBOOM TEAM 45%
The model gave 55% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 48:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga SirenPure~
WeaverNightfall
SniperTopson
Dragon KnightgpK~
SlardarTobi
MagnusMieRo
Batrider9Class
Shadow DemonSave-
ClockwerkWhitemon
Vengeful SpiritTORONTOTOKYO
Game 2prediction correct31:21
Tundra Esports 57%BETBOOM TEAM 43%
The model gave 57% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 47:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow RangerPure~
SvenNightfall
Dragon KnightTopson
PangoliergpK~
BrewmasterTobi
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Rubick9Class
MuertaSave-
ClockwerkWhitemon
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 61%
Accuracy by game1 of 2