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DreamLeague Season 23 · BO3
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Techies
Techiessignature
9Class · 49 games
80%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 37 games
68%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Tobi · 31 game
71%
Luna
Lunasignature
Pure~ · 27 games
78%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 24 games
50%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Topson · 24 games
71%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Tobi · 23 games
78%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
9Class · 21 game
57%

BETBOOM TEAM

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 27 games
44%
Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 25 games
64%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 24 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 23 games
61%
Lion
Lion
Save- · 22 games
55%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 22 games
64%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 18 games
72%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
gpK~ · 18 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
486 picks · 222 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
432 picks · 643 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
423 picks · 725 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
405 picks · 584 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
405 picks · 364 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
389 picks · 162 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
373 picks · 798 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
344 picks · 958 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 48%
Hero pool strength55% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total58% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:30
Tundra Esports 55%BETBOOM TEAM 45%
The model gave 55% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
LycanPure~
66% · 72 games36% · 58 games
TinyNightfall
Tiny
Dazzle
DazzleTopson
57% · 47 games47% · 60 games
TimbersawgpK~
Timbersaw
Axe
AxeRAMZES666
54% · 49 games56% · 21 game
SlardarMieRo
Slardar
Muerta
Muerta9Class
57% · 90 games44% · 67 games
EnchantressTORONTOTOKYO
Enchantress
Jakiro
JakiroWhitemon
37% · 26 games43% · 78 games
RubickSave-
Rubick
Game 2prediction missed19:36
Tundra Esports 57%BETBOOM TEAM 43%
The model gave 57% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 52:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistTopson
49% · 55 games52% · 41 game
Wraith KingNightfall
Wraith King
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinPure~
49% · 119 games59% · 75 games
Death ProphetgpK~
Death Prophet
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerRAMZES666
51% · 139 games52% · 45 games
ViperMieRo
Viper
Hoodwink
Hoodwink9Class
47% · 89 games48% · 215 games
EnchantressTORONTOTOKYO
Enchantress
Abaddon
AbaddonWhitemon
35% · 13 games46% · 39 games
PudgeSave-
Pudge
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 58%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2