?
arrow_backBack to match
FISSURE PLAYGROUND 2 — Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportsloss 1:2
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Axe
Axesignature
33 · 24 games
67%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
33 · 22 games
64%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Saksa · 22 games
55%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Saksa · 20 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Saksa · 20 games
60%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Saksa · 20 games
65%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Crystallis · 17 games
53%
Bane
Banesignature
Whitemon · 17 games
71%

BETBOOM TEAM

Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 33 games
76%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
63%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 26 games
58%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 24 games
54%
Windranger
Windranger
Save- · 23 games
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
gpK~ · 21 game
57%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
Pure~ · 19 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
653 picks · 320 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
560 picks · 570 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
411 picks · 218 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
405 picks · 1153 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
377 picks · 632 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
361 picks · 266 bans
50%
Pugna
Pugna
356 picks · 398 bans
52%
Warlock
Warlock
352 picks · 159 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 53%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head11 – 1
Model total76% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:38
Tundra Esports 63%BETBOOM TEAM 37%
The model gave 63% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 56:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetbzm
50% · 184 games58% · 28 games
JuggernautKiritych
Juggernaut
Marci
MarciPure~
47% · 170 games54% · 284 games
BristlebackMieRo
Bristleback
Axe
Axe33
41% · 82 games53% · 200 games
Primal BeastgpK~
Primal Beast
Batrider
BatriderAri
52% · 277 games46% · 281 game
MuertaSave-
Muerta
Pugna
PugnaWhitemon
48% · 260 games54% · 180 games
BaneKataomi
Bane
Game 2prediction correct27:3
Tundra Esports 65%BETBOOM TEAM 35%
The model gave 65% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 26:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tidehunter
Tidehunter33
60% · 154 games41% · 186 games
SvenKiritych
Sven
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterPure~
50% · 281 game48% · 403 games
BeastmastergpK~
Beastmaster
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritbzm
45% · 308 games53% · 64 games
UnderlordMieRo
Underlord
Chen
ChenWhitemon
61% · 151 game44% · 258 games
WarlockKataomi
Warlock
Void Spirit
Void SpiritAri
52% · 107 games48% · 90 games
Bounty HunterSave-
Bounty Hunter
Game 3prediction missed18:38
Tundra Esports 63%BETBOOM TEAM 37%
The model gave 63% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 37:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordPure~
42% · 93 games52% · 136 games
UrsaKiritych
Ursa
Axe
Axe33
43% · 124 games52% · 140 games
Dragon KnightMieRo
Dragon Knight
Leshrac
Leshracbzm
53% · 140 games48% · 280 games
PuckgpK~
Puck
Chen
ChenWhitemon
62% · 172 games41% · 51 game
Bounty HunterSave-
Bounty Hunter
Void Spirit
Void SpiritAri
53% · 218 games49% · 140 games
JakiroKataomi
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 76%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3