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DreamLeague Season 28 · BO3
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 2:1
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Batrider
Batridersignature
Ari · 36 games
61%
Invoker
Invokersignature
bzm · 27 games
78%
Bane
Banesignature
Whitemon · 26 games
77%
Axe
Axesignature
33 · 25 games
60%
Tiny
Tinysignature
bzm · 23 games
70%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Ari · 22 games
68%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Whitemon · 21 game
62%
Pugna
Pugna
Whitemon · 21 game
52%

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 48 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 35 games
60%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 29 games
62%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kataomi · 26 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 23 games
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
78%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 23 games
61%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Kiritych · 21 game
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
631 picks · 998 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
524 picks · 442 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
456 picks · 500 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
453 picks · 630 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
452 picks · 1069 bans
56%
Warlock
Warlock
446 picks · 283 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
427 picks · 586 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
416 picks · 502 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 58%
Hero pool strength53% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head6 – 2
Model total68% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:7
Tundra Esports 61%BETBOOM TEAM 39%
The model gave 61% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 27:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaPure~
51% · 236 games44% · 254 games
UrsaKiritych
Ursa
Beastmaster
Beastmaster33
48% · 407 games45% · 377 games
PuckgpK~
Puck
Tiny
Tinybzm
49% · 499 games53% · 358 games
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Centaur Warrunner
Chen
ChenWhitemon
57% · 304 games46% · 152 games
Bounty HunterSave-
Bounty Hunter
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightAri
61% · 134 games46% · 439 games
WarlockKataomi
Warlock
Game 2prediction missed14:44
Tundra Esports 60%BETBOOM TEAM 40%
The model gave 60% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezPure~
53% · 164 games42% · 157 games
SvenKiritych
Sven
Doom
Doom33
52% · 195 games51% · 419 games
Ember SpiritgpK~
Ember Spirit
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritbzm
49% · 632 games45% · 331 game
MarsMieRo
Mars
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightAri
56% · 181 game48% · 580 games
JakiroKataomi
Jakiro
Warlock
WarlockWhitemon
48% · 612 games55% · 297 games
Shadow DemonSave-
Shadow Demon
Game 3prediction correct34:15
Tundra Esports 61%BETBOOM TEAM 39%
The model gave 61% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 37:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaPure~
51% · 111 games51% · 133 games
KezKiritych
Kez
Void Spirit
Void Spiritbzm
52% · 158 games48% · 146 games
RazorgpK~
Razor
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner33
54% · 280 games46% · 303 games
AxeMieRo
Axe
Jakiro
JakiroWhitemon
48% · 395 games52% · 328 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanAri
53% · 149 games44% · 183 games
DazzleKataomi
Dazzle
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 68%
Series resultTundra Esports 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3