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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 2:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Whitemon · 25 games
60%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Topson · 25 games
64%
Mars
Marssignature
RAMZES666 · 24 games
75%
Rubick
Rubick
9Class · 20 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 19 games
63%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Pure~ · 18 games
50%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Whitemon · 18 games
56%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Whitemon · 17 games
76%

Gaimin Gladiators

Underlord
Underlordsignature
Ace · 22 games
64%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Quinn · 20 games
60%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 19 games
74%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 19 games
58%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
72%
Chen
Chensignature
Seleri · 17 games
71%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 16 games
69%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
tOfu · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
342 picks · 301 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
341 picks · 463 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
330 picks · 450 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
322 picks · 210 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
316 picks · 568 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
279 picks · 457 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
264 picks · 368 bans
53%
Luna
Luna
260 picks · 323 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 45%
Hero pool strength51% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total51% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:30
Tundra Esports 50%Gaimin Gladiators 50%
The model gave 50% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 32:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorNightfall
51% · 113 games49% · 318 games
GyrocopterWatson
Gyrocopter
Pangolier
PangolierLorenof
52% · 319 games53% · 62 games
BloodseekerAce
Bloodseeker
Beastmaster
Beastmaster33
47% · 140 games49% · 161 game
InvokerQuinn
Invoker
Batrider
BatriderSaksa
51% · 223 games44% · 120 games
MuertatOfu
Muerta
Tusk
TuskWhitemon
51% · 194 games53% · 328 games
ClockwerkSeleri
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction missed29:24
Tundra Esports 48%Gaimin Gladiators 52%
The model gave 52% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 53:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterNightfall
43% · 184 games55% · 124 games
Nature's ProphetWatson
Nature's Prophet
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritLorenof
50% · 75 games60% · 75 games
Sand KingQuinn
Sand King
Visage
Visage33
38% · 88 games55% · 85 games
UnderlordAce
Underlord
Muerta
MuertaSaksa
51% · 109 games56% · 224 games
ClockwerkSeleri
Clockwerk
Tusk
TuskWhitemon
42% · 235 games51% · 183 games
HoodwinktOfu
Hoodwink
Game 3prediction missed27:24
Tundra Esports 48%Gaimin Gladiators 52%
The model gave 52% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 42:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterNightfall
49% · 155 games53% · 117 games
Shadow FiendWatson
Shadow Fiend
Puck
PuckLorenof
50% · 143 games52% · 78 games
BristlebackAce
Bristleback
Visage
Visage33
38% · 58 games59% · 92 games
Sand KingQuinn
Sand King
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterSaksa
41% · 19 games52% · 211 games
Dark WillowtOfu
Dark Willow
Clockwerk
ClockwerkWhitemon
49% · 212 games50% · 89 games
ChenSeleri
Chen
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 51%
Series resultTundra Esports 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3