?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 1:0
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Heroicloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Axe
Axesignature
33 · 33 games
64%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Whitemon · 27 games
52%
Bane
Banesignature
Whitemon · 25 games
72%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ari · 25 games
52%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
59%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 21 game
52%
Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 19 games
58%
Doom
Doomoften banned
33 · 18 games
33%

Heroic

Tusk
Tusk
Scofield · 27 games
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 25 games
68%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Wisper · 24 games
63%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Yuma · 22 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Scofield · 22 games
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
4nalog · 19 games
58%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 19 games
63%
Puck
Puckoften banned
4nalog · 19 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
776 picks · 354 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
583 picks · 591 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
564 picks · 299 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
471 picks · 541 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
469 picks · 287 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
467 picks · 273 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
455 picks · 740 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
434 picks · 1120 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 53%
Hero pool strength51% Heroic
Head-to-head6 – 3
Model total77% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:9
Tundra Esports 66%Heroic 34%
The model gave 66% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 26:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautPure~
48% · 66 games50% · 18 games
MeepoYuma
Meepo
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner33
55% · 243 games46% · 197 games
UrsaWisper
Ursa
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritbzm
52% · 251 game49% · 157 games
AxeDavai
Axe
Bane
BaneWhitemon
65% · 150 games43% · 234 games
HoodwinkScofield
Hoodwink
Batrider
BatriderAri
54% · 228 games41% · 332 games
JakiroKJ
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 77%
Series resultTundra Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1