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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Liquidloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Whitemon · 27 games
63%
Mars
Marssignature
RAMZES666 · 24 games
75%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Topson · 24 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
9Class · 21 game
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 19 games
63%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 18 games
50%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Whitemon · 18 games
56%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Whitemon · 17 games
76%

Team Liquid

Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 23 games
78%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 23 games
70%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 22 games
41%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
33 · 19 games
47%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
iNSaNiA · 18 games
61%
Rubick
Rubick
Boxi · 18 games
44%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 18 games
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 17 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
338 picks · 462 bans
49%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
327 picks · 282 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
327 picks · 229 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
313 picks · 434 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
307 picks · 559 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
284 picks · 459 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
268 picks · 386 bans
53%
Sand King
Sand King
259 picks · 773 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 69%
Hero pool strength51% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total59% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:17
Tundra Esports 48%Team Liquid 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 41:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaNightfall
55% · 239 games47% · 108 games
Shadow FiendmiCKe
Shadow Fiend
Timbersaw
TimbersawLorenof
51% · 222 games43% · 120 games
Earth SpiritNisha
Earth Spirit
Pangolier
Pangolier33
52% · 335 games50% · 441 game
Centaur WarrunnerSabeRLight-
Centaur Warrunner
Naga Siren
Naga SirenWhitemon
53% · 109 games45% · 122 games
MuertaBoxi
Muerta
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSaksa
56% · 228 games47% · 342 games
Crystal MaideniNSaNiA
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct15:37
Tundra Esports 45%Team Liquid 55%
The model gave 55% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 44:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterNightfall
48% · 267 games47% · 143 games
RazormiCKe
Razor
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritLorenof
49% · 154 games50% · 324 games
TinyNisha
Tiny
Doom
Doom33
52% · 232 games51% · 146 games
BeastmasterSabeRLight-
Beastmaster
Chen
ChenWhitemon
51% · 98 games52% · 199 games
Dark WillowBoxi
Dark Willow
Muerta
MuertaSaksa
45% · 118 games55% · 57 games
OmniknightiNSaNiA
Omniknight
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 59%
Accuracy by game1 of 2