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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Ticklesloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nine · 11 games
73%
Doom
Doomoften banned
33 · 10 games
30%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Sneyking · 10 games
70%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Topson · 10 games
70%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Sneyking · 9 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Topson · 8 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Aui_2000 · 8 games
38%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Whitemon · 7 games
43%

Team Tickles

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Dukalis · 23 games
74%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 17 games
82%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Force · 17 games
65%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Ulnit · 14 games
71%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Dukalis · 12 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Force · 11 games
64%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Force · 11 games
45%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Lorenof · 10 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
264 picks · 435 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
248 picks · 388 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
246 picks · 337 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
219 picks · 205 bans
47%
Muerta
Muerta
210 picks · 298 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
204 picks · 100 bans
53%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
200 picks · 501 bans
51%
Pugna
Pugna
184 picks · 325 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 63%
Hero pool strength57% Team Tickles
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:27
Tundra Esports 61%Team Tickles 39%
The model gave 61% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 1:01:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaPure~
48% · 89 games68% · 11 games
Arc WardenLorenof
Arc Warden
Rubick
RubickTopson
41% · 482 games54% · 29 games
ClinkzUlnit
Clinkz
Magnus
MagnusMinD_ContRoL
50% · 186 games56% · 237 games
TimbersawForce
Timbersaw
Muerta
Muerta9Class
58% · 59 games52% · 312 games
TechiesNARMAN
Techies
Phoenix
PhoenixWhitemon
45% · 130 games45% · 357 games
TuskDukalis
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct42:7
Tundra Esports 62%Team Tickles 38%
The model gave 62% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 31:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidPure~
62% · 119 games59% · 20 games
Arc WardenLorenof
Arc Warden
Pangolier
PangolierTopson
51% · 256 games55% · 256 games
MedusaUlnit
Medusa
Doom
DoomMinD_ContRoL
47% · 200 games42% · 197 games
MarsForce
Mars
Rubick
Rubick9Class
44% · 386 games50% · 503 games
TinyNARMAN
Tiny
Batrider
BatriderWhitemon
44% · 170 games53% · 155 games
Vengeful SpiritDukalis
Vengeful Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 70%
Series resultTundra Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2