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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 1:0
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Yandexloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Axe
Axesignature
33 · 33 games
64%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Whitemon · 27 games
52%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ari · 25 games
52%
Bane
Banesignature
Whitemon · 24 games
71%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Crystallis · 21 game
57%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 21 game
52%
Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 19 games
58%
Doom
Doomoften banned
33 · 18 games
33%

Team Yandex

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 21 game
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 19 games
63%
Warlock
Warlock
Solo · 18 games
44%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
prblms · 16 games
81%
Tusk
Tusk
prblms · 16 games
56%
Axe
Axesignature
Noticed · 14 games
64%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
TA2000 · 14 games
57%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 14 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
775 picks · 354 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
585 picks · 598 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
560 picks · 299 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
460 picks · 538 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
458 picks · 276 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
456 picks · 280 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
450 picks · 737 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
430 picks · 1127 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 68%
Hero pool strength53% Team Yandex
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total68% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:14
Tundra Esports 60%Team Yandex 40%
The model gave 60% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 44:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaPure~
56% · 203 games48% · 260 games
TerrorbladeWatson
Terrorblade
Leshrac
Leshracbzm
46% · 169 games47% · 94 games
InvokerChira JUNIOR
Invoker
Brewmaster
Brewmaster33
47% · 88 games49% · 140 games
SlardarNoticed
Slardar
Hoodwink
HoodwinkAri
48% · 227 games54% · 66 games
SlarkSaksa
Slark
Bane
BaneWhitemon
56% · 137 games49% · 264 games
JakiroMalady
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 68%
Series resultTundra Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1