BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
UD Vessuwanloss 0:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
XERXIAwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
UD Vessuwan
Snapfire
LionaX · 5 games
Batrideroften banned
AlaCrity · 3 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Meracle · 3 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
inYourdreaM · 3 games
Rubick
boombell · 3 games
Dragon Knight
Beebie · 2 games
Earthshaker
Jhocam · 2 games
Marcioften banned
boombell · 2 games
XERXIA
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
427 picks · 433 bans
Rubick
421 picks · 280 bans
Tiny
413 picks · 390 bans
Mirana
313 picks · 318 bans
Treant Protector
276 picks · 329 bans
Snapfire
251 picks · 133 bans
Ember Spirit
229 picks · 596 bans
Crystal Maiden
223 picks · 157 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 28%
Hero pool strength54% XERXIA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% XERXIA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:33
UD Vessuwan 40%XERXIA 60%
The model gave 60% on XERXIA — the game was taken by XERXIA in 34:26.
Game 2prediction correct6:27
UD Vessuwan 40%XERXIA 60%
The model gave 60% on XERXIA — the game was taken by XERXIA in 22:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteXERXIA · 60%
Series resultXERXIA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2