Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Западная Европа. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Unity Esportsloss 0:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Betrayedwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Unity Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Betrayed
Clockwerk
OwnedMe · 1 game
Enigmaoften banned
symetricaL · 1 game
Iooften banned
Flash · 1 game
Leshracoften banned
Mirage · 1 game
Marci
Shad · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
Shad · 1 game
Nature's Prophetoften banned
symetricaL · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
752 picks · 479 bans
Tusk
534 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
531 picks · 388 bans
Treant Protector
529 picks · 578 bans
Nature's Prophet
410 picks · 599 bans
Snapfire
387 picks · 265 bans
Death Prophet
376 picks · 632 bans
Ember Spirit
352 picks · 748 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength57% Betrayed
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Betrayed
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Unity Esports 47%Betrayed 53%
The model gave 53% on Betrayed — the game was taken by Betrayed.
Game 2prediction correct
Unity Esports 47%Betrayed 53%
The model gave 53% on Betrayed — the game was taken by Betrayed.
Model check result
Model favoriteBetrayed · 53%
Series resultBetrayed 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2