BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Unity Gamingwin 2:0series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 2:0
XERXIAloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Unity Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
XERXIA
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
382 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
341 picks · 245 bans
Undying
330 picks · 568 bans
Enigma
250 picks · 764 bans
Pangolier
244 picks · 332 bans
Primal Beast
236 picks · 446 bans
Death Prophet
216 picks · 329 bans
Tusk
212 picks · 98 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Unity Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% XERXIA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:21
Unity Gaming 25%XERXIA 75%
The model gave 75% on XERXIA — the game was taken by Unity Gaming in 36:23.
Game 2prediction missed47:23
Unity Gaming 25%XERXIA 75%
The model gave 75% on XERXIA — the game was taken by Unity Gaming in 40:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteXERXIA · 75%
Series resultUnity Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2