ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Universitario Esportsloss 0:1series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Invaderswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Universitario Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Invaders
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
215 picks · 271 bans
Pangolier
180 picks · 381 bans
Grimstroke
178 picks · 167 bans
Sven
170 picks · 247 bans
Dark Willow
167 picks · 70 bans
Earthshaker
166 picks · 165 bans
Earth Spirit
150 picks · 237 bans
Phoenix
148 picks · 192 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Universitario Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Universitario Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:14
Universitario Esports 67%Invaders 33%
The model gave 67% on Universitario Esports — the game was taken by Invaders in 29:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteUniversitario Esports · 67%
Series resultInvaders 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1