Road To Asian Games · BO1
result vs prediction
Узбекистанloss 0:1series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Туркменистанwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Узбекистан
No games played over 6 months.
Туркменистан
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
650 picks · 696 bans
Rubick
545 picks · 370 bans
Doom
512 picks · 1051 bans
Ember Spirit
428 picks · 915 bans
Beastmaster
414 picks · 1085 bans
Batrider
410 picks · 1018 bans
Void Spirit
392 picks · 353 bans
Enchantress
388 picks · 662 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Узбекистан
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Узбекистан
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Узбекистан 69%Туркменистан 31%
The model gave 69% on Узбекистан — the game was taken by Туркменистан.
Model check result
Model favoriteУзбекистан · 69%
Series resultТуркменистан 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1