RES Regional Series: EU #4 · BO2
result vs prediction
V1dar Gamingloss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TT Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
V1dar Gaming
Batrideroften banned
Groom · 5 games
Timbersawoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 4 games
Luna
dizzying · 3 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
dizzying · 3 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Difference · 2 games
Kunkka
kur0patbI4 · 2 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Groom · 2 games
Pangolieroften banned
Difference · 2 games
TT Team
Batrideroften banned
Askold · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
375 picks · 358 bans
Hoodwink
363 picks · 406 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 256 bans
Pangolier
334 picks · 526 bans
Sven
296 picks · 306 bans
Phoenix
291 picks · 504 bans
Ember Spirit
282 picks · 596 bans
Windranger
280 picks · 340 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 29%
Hero pool strength56% V1dar Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% V1dar Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:27
V1dar Gaming 51%TT Team 49%
The model gave 51% on V1dar Gaming — the game was taken by TT Team in 38:30.
Game 2prediction missed25:31
V1dar Gaming 51%TT Team 49%
The model gave 51% on V1dar Gaming — the game was taken by TT Team in 43:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteV1dar Gaming · 51%
Series resultTT Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2