?
arrow_backBack to match
Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO1
result vs prediction
V-Gamingloss 0:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

V-Gaming

Weaver
Weaversignature
ArrOw · 34 games
62%
Lina
Linasignature
hAze · 33 games
64%
Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 28 games
64%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
hAze · 28 games
54%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 27 games
59%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Malady · 26 games
62%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkersignature
laise · 24 games
71%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 23 games
74%

Nemiga Gaming

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
Heaven · 29 games
55%
Mars
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 26 games
42%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 24 games
58%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Heaven · 22 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Heaven · 21 game
52%
Rubick
Rubick
Heaven · 19 games
47%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
TheChosenOne · 18 games
44%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
VANSKOR · 18 games
72%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
523 picks · 369 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
458 picks · 656 bans
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
416 picks · 512 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
407 picks · 860 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
365 picks · 187 bans
44%
Kunkka
Kunkka
324 picks · 528 bans
54%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
322 picks · 497 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
267 picks · 180 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 52%
Hero pool strength56% V-Gaming
Head-to-head5 – 9
Model total52% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:45
V-Gaming 50%Nemiga Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 36:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinTA2000
48% · 128 games50% · 326 games
Wraith KingKiritych
Wraith King
Puck
PuckhAze
47% · 414 games43% · 244 games
Dragon KnightAinkrad
Dragon Knight
Mars
Marslaise
49% · 433 games48% · 374 games
Queen of PainTheChosenOne
Queen of Pain
Bane
BaneAntares
58% · 222 games50% · 176 games
Dark WillowHeaven
Dark Willow
Weaver
WeaverArrOw
52% · 215 games54% · 292 games
Nyx AssassinLodine
Nyx Assassin
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 52%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1