Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
V-Gaming
Weaversignature
ArrOw · 34 games
Linasignature
hAze · 33 games
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 28 games
Queen of Painoften banned
hAze · 28 games
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 27 games
Disruptorsignature
Malady · 26 games
Night Stalkersignature
laise · 24 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 23 games
Winstrike Team
Weaversignature
yamich · 20 games
Marssignature
Noticed · 18 games
Void Spirit
mellojul · 16 games
Banesignature
Panto · 13 games
Pucksignature
Larl · 13 games
Jakirosignature
SoNNeikO · 12 games
Ogre Magi
Panto · 12 games
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
522 picks · 369 bans
Mars
457 picks · 656 bans
Queen of Pain
416 picks · 511 bans
Weaver
407 picks · 859 bans
Snapfire
365 picks · 187 bans
Kunkka
324 picks · 527 bans
Spirit Breaker
321 picks · 497 bans
Disruptor
266 picks · 180 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 59%
Hero pool strength50% V-Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 5
Model total52% Winstrike Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:28
V-Gaming 51%Winstrike Team 49%
The model gave 51% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by Winstrike Team in 35:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Void SpirithAze
MedusaDaxak
RazorTA2000
InvokerLarl
Spirit Breakerlaise
MarsNoticed
Skywrath MageAntares
Ioforcemajor
BaneArrOw
DisruptorSoNNeikO
Model check result
Model favoriteWinstrike Team · 52%
Series resultWinstrike Team 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 1