PGL Wallachia Season 7. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionVValinorwin 2:0
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MHMagic Handsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Valinor
Jakirooften banned
Stoic · 4 games
Marsoften banned
Wuiter · 4 games
Ringmaster
Jeezy · 4 games
Tinyoften banned
G.T.I · 4 games
Kezoften banned
Coblackk · 3 games
Kunkka
Wuiter · 3 games
Phoenix
Jeezy · 3 games
Tusk
Stoic · 3 games
Magic Hands
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
534 picks · 857 bans
Tusk
514 picks · 372 bans
Dragon Knight
473 picks · 641 bans
Centaur Warrunner
459 picks · 590 bans
Shadow Demon
392 picks · 787 bans
Gyrocopter
350 picks · 576 bans
Ember Spirit
349 picks · 556 bans
Mars
341 picks · 483 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% Valinor
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Valinor
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct51:15
Valinor 65%Magic Hands 35%
The model gave 65% on Valinor — the game was taken by Valinor in 23:37.
Game 2prediction correct21:49
Valinor 65%Magic Hands 35%
The model gave 65% on Valinor — the game was taken by Valinor in 23:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteValinor · 65%
Series resultValinor 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2