CCT Season 2 Series 7 · BO3
result vs predictionVValinorloss 0:2
series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Lynxwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Valinor
Jakirooften banned
Stoic · 9 games
Tinyoften banned
G.T.I · 8 games
Tusk
Stoic · 8 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Wuiter · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
G.T.I · 7 games
Marsoften banned
Wuiter · 7 games
Phoenix
Jeezy · 7 games
Ringmaster
Jeezy · 7 games
Team Lynx
Centaur Warrunnersignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 22 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 14 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
7jesu · 14 games
Slardaroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 14 games
Sand King
mellojul · 13 games
Abaddonoften banned
7jesu · 11 games
Axeoften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 11 games
Marsoften banned
fortniteMan · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
612 picks · 934 bans
Tusk
516 picks · 419 bans
Centaur Warrunner
472 picks · 621 bans
Dragon Knight
429 picks · 572 bans
Shadow Demon
427 picks · 948 bans
Warlock
404 picks · 250 bans
Ember Spirit
396 picks · 658 bans
Tiny
396 picks · 447 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 55%
Hero pool strength54% Team Lynx
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:36
Valinor 30%Team Lynx 70%
The model gave 70% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx in 42:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinCoblackk
Weaver7jesu
Primal BeastWuiter
Vipermellojul
TinyG.T.I
Centaur WarrunnerVladikTheHtiviy
Shadow DemonJeezy
Tuskkreker
Ogre MagiStoic
RingmasterQBFY
Game 2prediction correct17:44
Valinor 30%Team Lynx 70%
The model gave 70% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx in 28:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
InvokerG.T.I
Clinkz7jesu
MedusaCoblackk
Ember Spiritmellojul
Centaur WarrunnerWuiter
RazorVladikTheHtiviy
Skywrath MageJeezy
Disruptorkreker
TuskStoic
Dark WillowQBFY
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 83%
Series resultTeam Lynx 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2