The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Veritas Brotherswin 2:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Estar Backsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Veritas Brothers
No games played over 6 months.
Estar Backs
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Wits · 4 games
Ringmaster
Prada · 4 games
Doomoften banned
Frank · 3 games
Enchantress
Prada · 3 games
Magnusoften banned
Leostyle · 3 games
Muerta
Michael · 3 games
Riki
Michael · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
Prada · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
472 picks · 543 bans
Ringmaster
443 picks · 225 bans
Terrorblade
348 picks · 671 bans
Storm Spirit
309 picks · 457 bans
Ancient Apparition
298 picks · 687 bans
Tusk
294 picks · 241 bans
Windranger
286 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 44%
Hero pool strength61% Estar Backs
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Estar Backs
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:37
Veritas Brothers 47%Estar Backs 53%
The model gave 53% on Estar Backs — the game was taken by Veritas Brothers in 1:02:43.
Game 2prediction missed30:12
Veritas Brothers 47%Estar Backs 53%
The model gave 53% on Estar Backs — the game was taken by Veritas Brothers in 31:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteEstar Backs · 53%
Series resultVeritas Brothers 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2