BLAST Slam VII. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:0series probability
98%2%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Cloud Dawningloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Jakirooften banned
y` · 19 games
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 19 games
Faceless Voidsignature
pLAnet · 11 games
Pucksignature
Xm · 11 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Xm · 10 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
shiro · 10 games
Marcisignature
shiro · 10 games
Phoenix
y` · 10 games
Cloud Dawning
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
678 picks · 841 bans
Tiny
572 picks · 578 bans
Tusk
501 picks · 429 bans
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
417 picks · 1144 bans
Ember Spirit
406 picks · 689 bans
Mars
396 picks · 621 bans
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1029 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total98% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Vici Gaming 98%Cloud Dawning 2%
The model gave 98% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming.
Game 2prediction correct
Vici Gaming 98%Cloud Dawning 2%
The model gave 98% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 98%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2