i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingloss 1:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Invictus Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Void Spiritoften banned
Ori · 19 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 17 games
Pangoliersignature
ELeVeN · 15 games
Marsoften banned
ELeVeN · 13 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 13 games
Death Prophetsignature
Dy · 12 games
Grimstroke
Dy · 10 games
Juggernautoften banned
poyoyo · 10 games
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
416 picks · 940 bans
Void Spirit
380 picks · 537 bans
Death Prophet
346 picks · 704 bans
Mars
327 picks · 548 bans
Grimstroke
312 picks · 303 bans
Tusk
294 picks · 220 bans
Lion
279 picks · 154 bans
Earth Spirit
275 picks · 283 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 63%
Hero pool strength59% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total63% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:9
Vici Gaming 37%Invictus Gaming 63%
The model gave 63% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 33:21.
Game 2prediction correct19:32
Vici Gaming 37%Invictus Gaming 63%
The model gave 63% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 31:31.
Game 3prediction correct31:35
Vici Gaming 37%Invictus Gaming 63%
The model gave 63% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 45:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 63%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3