i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Invictus Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Void Spiritoften banned
Ori · 24 games
Marsoften banned
ELeVeN · 22 games
Grimstroke
Dy · 21 game
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 21 game
Spectresignature
poyoyo · 19 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 18 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
Pyw · 17 games
Earth Spirit
Pyw · 16 games
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
456 picks · 179 bans
Snapfire
347 picks · 194 bans
Mars
341 picks · 548 bans
Puck
322 picks · 807 bans
Ancient Apparition
318 picks · 477 bans
Nyx Assassin
315 picks · 613 bans
Tiny
296 picks · 234 bans
Enchantress
285 picks · 362 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 52%
Hero pool strength56% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 4
Model total61% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 61%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect