Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Windranger
shiro · 30 games
Tinysignature
shiro · 23 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 18 games
Marsoften banned
Faith_bian · 16 games
Phoenixoften banned
y` · 15 games
Rubick
XinQ · 15 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 15 games
Jakiro
y` · 13 games
PARIVISION
Kezsignature
Satanic · 29 games
Slardarsignature
Noticed · 26 games
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 25 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 25 games
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 25 games
Rubicksignature
9Class · 22 games
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 21 game
Tinysignature
Satanic · 18 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
615 picks · 437 bans
Rubick
556 picks · 321 bans
Pangolier
412 picks · 593 bans
Tiny
407 picks · 372 bans
Phoenix
387 picks · 437 bans
Ember Spirit
336 picks · 493 bans
Storm Spirit
329 picks · 375 bans
Clockwerk
326 picks · 626 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 80%
Hero pool strength62% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:31
Vici Gaming 27%PARIVISION 73%
The model gave 73% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 31:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiendshiro
SvenSatanic
LeshracXm
Dark SeerNoticed
BatriderFaith_bian
PangolierNo[o]ne
ClockwerkXinQ
Earth Spirit9Class
Oracley`
Winter WyvernDukalis
Game 2prediction correct12:36
Vici Gaming 25%PARIVISION 75%
The model gave 75% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 29:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursashiro
LifestealerSatanic
Storm SpiritXm
Dark SeerNoticed
LargoFaith_bian
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
WindrangerXinQ
Earth Spirit9Class
Ringmastery`
SilencerDukalis
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 88%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2