?
arrow_backBack to match
PGL Wallachia Season 7. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PlayTimeloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Vici Gaming

Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xm · 10 games
60%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
lou · 8 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Dy · 7 games
43%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Dy · 6 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Xm · 5 games
40%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
lou · 5 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
pLAnet · 5 games
60%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Xm · 5 games
60%

PlayTime

Tusk
Tusk
DJ · 7 games
43%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
Gabbi · 5 games
80%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Armel · 5 games
60%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Kuku · 4 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
JG · 3 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Armel · 3 games
67%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
JG · 3 games
67%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Armel · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
529 picks · 864 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
514 picks · 380 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 636 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
459 picks · 588 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
394 picks · 806 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
350 picks · 562 bans
60%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
344 picks · 574 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
341 picks · 484 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% PlayTime
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:17
Vici Gaming 61%PlayTime 39%
The model gave 61% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 38:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
Clinkzshiro
61% · 49 games45% · 209 games
GyrocopterAkashi
Gyrocopter
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendXm
52% · 139 games48% · 66 games
Primal BeastGabbi
Primal Beast
Tidehunter
TidehunterFaith_bian
51% · 187 games51% · 334 games
Ember SpiritArmel
Ember Spirit
Tiny
TinypLAnet
49% · 425 games41% · 64 games
Skywrath MageDJ
Skywrath Mage
Largo
Largoy`
57% · 3 games52% · 130 games
Ancient ApparitionKuku
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction correct29:13
Vici Gaming 63%PlayTime 37%
The model gave 63% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 35:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptershiro
56% · 329 games47% · 212 games
Templar AssassinAkashi
Templar Assassin
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendXm
48% · 233 games55% · 173 games
LeshracArmel
Leshrac
Mars
MarsFaith_bian
48% · 347 games46% · 194 games
DawnbreakerGabbi
Dawnbreaker
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidpLAnet
47% · 76 games45% · 370 games
JakiroDJ
Jakiro
Pugna
Pugnay`
53% · 281 game55% · 317 games
DisruptorKuku
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 72%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2