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ESL Challenger China Season 3 x ACL 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Roar Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Vici Gaming

Mars
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 17 games
65%
Jakiro
Jakiro
y` · 15 games
40%
Tiny
Tiny
shiro · 14 games
57%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
shiro · 13 games
31%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
pLAnet · 11 games
73%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 11 games
36%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Xm · 10 games
30%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
XinQ · 10 games
60%

Roar Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
LOyd · 11 games
36%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 11 games
18%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
CatYou · 10 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 10 games
30%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
ukiyo · 9 games
22%
Rubick
Rubick
CatYou · 8 games
13%
Tusk
Tusk
CatYou · 8 games
25%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 7 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
515 picks · 422 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
476 picks · 250 bans
57%
Phoenix
Phoenix
474 picks · 536 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
464 picks · 355 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
414 picks · 356 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
360 picks · 807 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
353 picks · 859 bans
54%
Warlock
Warlock
348 picks · 203 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 43%
Hero pool strength59% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total93% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:7
Vici Gaming 80%Roar Gaming 20%
The model gave 80% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 33:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
Kezshiro
49% · 154 games49% · 182 games
Tidehunter生死
Tidehunter
Tiny
TinyXm
49% · 442 games50% · 105 games
Lifestealerukiyo
Lifestealer
Primal Beast
Primal BeastFaith_bian
53% · 173 games51% · 346 games
PuckButterflyEffect
Puck
Windranger
WindrangerXinQ
55% · 218 games44% · 224 games
PhoenixLOyd
Phoenix
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyverny`
54% · 18 games48% · 148 games
Dark WillowCatYou
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct30:13
Vici Gaming 80%Roar Gaming 20%
The model gave 80% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 38:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyXm
54% · 404 games51% · 141 game
Doomukiyo
Doom
Kez
Kezshiro
45% · 137 games52% · 336 games
PuckButterflyEffect
Puck
Underlord
UnderlordFaith_bian
46% · 207 games46% · 208 games
Tidehunter生死
Tidehunter
Windranger
WindrangerXinQ
57% · 205 games46% · 43 games
TechiesCatYou
Techies
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyverny`
53% · 22 games49% · 247 games
PhoenixLOyd
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 93%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2