Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Китай 1-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Royal Never Give Uploss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Void Spiritoften banned
Ori · 19 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 17 games
Pangoliersignature
ELeVeN · 16 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 16 games
Marsoften banned
ELeVeN · 14 games
Death Prophetsignature
Dy · 13 games
Elder Titansignature
Dy · 13 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Dy · 13 games
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
406 picks · 997 bans
Mars
357 picks · 570 bans
Void Spirit
341 picks · 524 bans
Grimstroke
338 picks · 352 bans
Lion
330 picks · 180 bans
Death Prophet
324 picks · 699 bans
Tusk
304 picks · 222 bans
Earth Spirit
262 picks · 277 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 48%
Hero pool strength59% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total73% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:14
Vici Gaming 73%Royal Never Give Up 27%
The model gave 73% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 40:19.
Game 2prediction correct36:24
Vici Gaming 73%Royal Never Give Up 27%
The model gave 73% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 51:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 73%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2