i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team MagMaloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 17 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Ori · 17 games
Pangoliersignature
ELeVeN · 15 games
Marsoften banned
ELeVeN · 13 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 13 games
Grimstroke
Dy · 10 games
Juggernautoften banned
poyoyo · 9 games
Monkey Kingsignature
poyoyo · 9 games
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
427 picks · 966 bans
Void Spirit
399 picks · 556 bans
Death Prophet
357 picks · 709 bans
Mars
341 picks · 575 bans
Grimstroke
311 picks · 299 bans
Earth Spirit
296 picks · 291 bans
Tusk
295 picks · 208 bans
Lion
264 picks · 142 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 36%
Hero pool strength58% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total79% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:22
Vici Gaming 79%Team MagMa 21%
The model gave 79% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 42:11.
Game 2prediction correct21:17
Vici Gaming 79%Team MagMa 21%
The model gave 79% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 27:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 79%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2