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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Spiritwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Vici Gaming

Windranger
Windranger
shiro · 31 game
48%
Tiny
Tinysignature
shiro · 23 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 18 games
39%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Faith_bian · 16 games
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 16 games
38%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
y` · 15 games
33%
Rubick
Rubick
XinQ · 15 games
53%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
shiro · 14 games
71%

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
rue · 42 games
60%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
rue · 21 game
48%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Collapse · 20 games
65%
Largo
Largosignature
Collapse · 20 games
60%
Puck
Pucksignature
Larl · 20 games
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 20 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 19 games
58%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Collapse · 19 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
618 picks · 443 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
553 picks · 317 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
412 picks · 379 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
405 picks · 592 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
383 picks · 428 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
343 picks · 500 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
334 picks · 631 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
333 picks · 375 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 57%
Hero pool strength56% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total73% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:36
Vici Gaming 37%Team Spirit 63%
The model gave 63% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 44:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeshiro
52% · 150 games54% · 105 games
LifestealerYatoro
Lifestealer
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritXm
45% · 385 games55% · 463 games
Ember SpiritLarl
Ember Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerFaith_bian
53% · 272 games58% · 150 games
LargoCollapse
Largo
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageXinQ
37% · 93 games48% · 143 games
Dark Willownot me
Dark Willow
Treant Protector
Treant Protectory`
55% · 171 game43% · 210 games
Clockwerkrue
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct8:33
Vici Gaming 37%Team Spirit 63%
The model gave 63% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 30:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
Necrophosshiro
57% · 84 games47% · 196 games
TerrorbladeYatoro
Terrorblade
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerFaith_bian
52% · 313 games42% · 280 games
AxeCollapse
Axe
Pangolier
PangolierXm
45% · 371 game50% · 345 games
SnapfireLarl
Snapfire
Windranger
WindrangerXinQ
53% · 254 games51% · 266 games
Ringmasternot me
Ringmaster
Bane
Baney`
56% · 307 games48% · 242 games
Clockwerkrue
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 73%
Series resultTeam Spirit 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2