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Snow Sweet Snow #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
ViKin.ggwin 2:0
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Brameloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

ViKin.gg

Puck
Puckoften banned
BOOM · 8 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Aramis · 7 games
14%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Aramis · 7 games
71%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Seleri · 7 games
57%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Tobi · 6 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 6 games
67%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
KheZu · 5 games
40%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
Seleri · 5 games
60%

Brame

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
CTOMAHEH1 · 11 games
36%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
SsaSpartan · 9 games
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 8 games
75%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
SkyLark · 7 games
71%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Focus · 7 games
43%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 6 games
83%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
SsaSpartan · 6 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
W1sh- · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
300 picks · 607 bans
54%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
278 picks · 346 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
239 picks · 422 bans
49%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
226 picks · 179 bans
49%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
194 picks · 368 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
193 picks · 104 bans
51%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
192 picks · 595 bans
60%
Phoenix
Phoenix
188 picks · 218 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 62%
Hero pool strength50% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:12
ViKin.gg 41%Brame 59%
The model gave 59% on Brame — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 35:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
LycanShad
48% · 15 games45% · 50 games
MorphlingFocus
Morphling
Death Prophet
Death ProphetBOOM
62% · 51 game48% · 17 games
Templar AssassinW1sh-
Templar Assassin
Puck
PuckKheZu
54% · 88 games42% · 56 games
GrimstrokeSkyLark
Grimstroke
Earthshaker
EarthshakerAramis
65% · 49 games36% · 110 games
Earth SpiritCTOMAHEH1
Earth Spirit
Oracle
OracleSeleri
58% · 65 games44% · 35 games
TuskSsaSpartan
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed30:23
ViKin.gg 37%Brame 63%
The model gave 63% on Brame — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 36:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackShad
56% · 8 games44% · 15 games
IoW1sh-
Io
Timbersaw
TimbersawKheZu
42% · 30 games48% · 24 games
ViperFocus
Viper
Void Spirit
Void SpiritBOOM
45% · 51 game54% · 30 games
BeastmasterSkyLark
Beastmaster
Dark Willow
Dark WillowAramis
49% · 11 games59% · 42 games
MiranaCTOMAHEH1
Mirana
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSeleri
55% · 39 games47% · 28 games
TuskSsaSpartan
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 72%
Series resultViKin.gg 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2