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The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Virtus.proloss 0:2
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 0:2
4Pirateswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Virtus.pro

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Lorenof · 23 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 20 games
60%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Daxak · 18 games
61%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Daxak · 16 games
63%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Nande · 15 games
67%
Batrider
Batridersignature
prblms · 14 games
71%
Enchantress
Enchantress
Rein · 14 games
50%
Silencer
Silencersignature
Rein · 13 games
69%

4Pirates

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 25 games
56%
Sniper
Snipersignature
NattyNarwhal · 24 games
67%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
PERDAN4IK · 20 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
Otaker · 19 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
ariel · 18 games
44%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
NattyNarwhal · 17 games
35%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
мистер мораль · 16 games
44%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
мистер мораль · 14 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
549 picks · 616 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
478 picks · 240 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
462 picks · 433 bans
49%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
389 picks · 805 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
359 picks · 533 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
354 picks · 808 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
348 picks · 308 bans
49%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
339 picks · 388 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 71%
Hero pool strength54% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed3:19
Virtus.pro 62%4Pirates 38%
The model gave 62% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by 4Pirates in 29:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerV-Tune
50% · 70 games42% · 15 games
ClinkzOtaker
Clinkz
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritLorenof
52% · 319 games58% · 218 games
Bristlebackмистер мораль
Bristleback
Doom
DoomDaxak
50% · 306 games47% · 338 games
PangolierNattyNarwhal
Pangolier
Rubick
RubickAntares
44% · 141 game51% · 137 games
Shadow Shamanariel
Shadow Shaman
Naga Siren
Naga SirenRein
54% · 147 games46% · 275 games
TuskPERDAN4IK
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed12:24
Virtus.pro 63%4Pirates 37%
The model gave 63% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by 4Pirates in 33:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaV-Tune
50% · 164 games51% · 67 games
SniperNattyNarwhal
Sniper
Kunkka
KunkkaLorenof
47% · 144 games52% · 155 games
TerrorbladeOtaker
Terrorblade
Death Prophet
Death ProphetDaxak
50% · 42 games60% · 144 games
Bristlebackмистер мораль
Bristleback
Silencer
SilencerRein
48% · 122 games52% · 113 games
Batriderariel
Batrider
Marci
MarciAntares
41% · 119 games51% · 112 games
SvenPERDAN4IK
Sven
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 72%
Series result4Pirates 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2